Public Strategy Associates
PRESS RELEASE: Public Strategy Associates' Poll Receives National Attention

 

MONTGOMERY, Alabama (May 24, 2010) - After releasing a statewide poll of the Alabama Republican gubernatorial and attorney general races on March 13, Public Strategy Associates has received extensive coverage of the poll. The results of the poll have been quoted by major news organizations from all over the United States. Below are excepts from some of the stories regarding the PSA commissioned poll.

FoxNews.com - Ad Questioning Candidate's Faith Jolts Alabama Governor's Contest

A poll released Thursday by Public Strategy Associates, a local firm, showed Byrne leading James by 1 point -- 24 percent to 23 percent, with Moore at 18 percent. The poll of 1,005 Republican primary voters was conducted May 10-11.

Montgomery Advertiser - Polls Show Tight Governor's Race

Public Strategy Associates of Montgomery is not representing any of the candidates for governor or attorney general but formerly represented Bentley. PSA commissioned the independent poll by Baselice and Associates of Texas, which works for Texas Gov. Rick Perry and has worked for California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger.

Baselice conducted the poll May 10 and 11, contacting 1,005 known Republican primary voters. The margin of error is 3.1 percent.

Baselice determined the race for governor was too close to call.

Mobile-Press Register - New Poll Show James, Byrne In Dead Heat In Race For Gubernatorial Nod

A statewide poll released Thursday shows Bradley Byrne and Tim James running neck-and-neck for the Republican Party's nomination in Alabama's gubernatorial race.

The independent poll was commissioned by Montgomery-based Public Strategy Associates and conducted May 10-11 by Baselice and Associates, an Austin, Texas-based polling firm.

The poll also showed Luther Strange with a substantial lead over incumbent Troy King in the Republican primary race for attorney general, with Strange at 50 percent of the vote and King at 25 percent.

Public Strategy said that the telephone survey of about 1,000 registered Republican voters showed Byrne leading with 24 percent of the vote and James at 23 percent.

Roy Moore had 18 percent, Robert Bentley had 12 percent and Bill Johnson had 2 percent. Twenty-one percent were undecided.

Birmingham News - New Poll Show James, Byrne In Dead Heat For GOP Nomination For Governor

The poll, conduct May 10-11 by Baselice and Associates of Austin, Texas, surveyed 1,005 known GOP primary voters.

WAAYTV Huntsville - Political Minute May 13

Johnson's announcement comes as a new poll shows him near the bottom of the Republican Gubernatorial field. He gained just 2% of the votes in the latest poll from Public Strategy Associates. The poll was conducted among 1,005 likely Republican primary voters between May 10th and 11th. The results show Bradley Byrne with a slim 24-23% lead over Tim James. Roy Moore is third with 18%, Dr. Robert Bentley has 10% and 21% are undecided.


Doc's Political Parlor - Considering Today's Polling Numbers In The GOP Gubernatorial Race

That said, these numbers look similar to what the James camp showed last week. You assume the James campaign polled at what they thought would be their peak position, and since Byrne has clawed back a bit.

This is certainly good news for Byrne. He’s lost some support from where we saw him in other public polls a few weeks ago, but he’s still in contention for the runoff, despite absorbing a lot of negative ads. The fact that he’s taken a punch and still standing is noteworthy, and certainly James will have to take a punch in the coming weeks too and we can see if he can absorb it as well.

And this confirms James has moved into the top tier. A combination of the money behind his tv ads and the free media furor over the immigration ad has catapulted him into real contention.

I’m sure there will be plenty of twists and turns, but if inertia holds it seems we’d have a Byrne / James runoff. The recent back and forth between Byrne and James on TV could make it tough for both to sustain both positive and negative ad tracks, and the other candidates have to hope for continued James/Byrne bloodshed.

This poll continues to show Moore stuck around 20%. Since he’s a known quantity, he’ll need a major cash infusion (which apparently is possible) to make a runoff. It will take at least in the high 20s or low 30s to make a runoff and it’s pretty clear Moore’s base is around 20%.

Bentley’s numbers throughout the race really show the power of paid media. He started out as a non-entity, but spent some serious money on TV and moved up in or near the top tier for a period. Then he was off TV for a few weeks and dropped considerably. He’s back on TV now but I am not sure how much oxygen there is for him. When he was on TV before, he appeared to be outspending the field but that’s unlikely moving forward. He’ll need a break or two to become a real factor again. If James and Byrne continue to pound each other and the Moore money doesn’t materialize, perhaps he could come up the middle and benefit but the timing would have to work out just right.

Doc's Political Parlor - Public Strategy Associates Releases Independent Polling in GOP Gov & AG Races

Public Strategy Associates released a poll this morning from Baselice & Associates that polled likely voters in the Republican primary on the governor and AG races. The poll, not commissioned by any candidate, had 1005 respondents and a margin of error of +/-3.1%.

Bradley Byrne and Tim James are essentially tied at 24% and 23% respectively after the recent surge from James. Roy Moore is at 18%, which is about where he’s been in every poll this season. Dr. Bentley weighs in at 12%, fading after an apparent surge of his own.

The real eye-opener in the poll is the Attorney General race where Luther Strange leads the incumbent Troy King 50%-25% in the race for the GOP nomination.

Flashpoint - Public Strategy GOP Governor and AG Poll

The good folks at Public Strategy Associates say that GOP gubernatorial candidates Bradley Byrne and Tim James are running “neck and neck” in a race that is “too close to call”. PSA also observes “Luther Strange strongly pulling away from incumbent Troy King in the race for Attorney General”.

South Union Street, Montgomery Advertiser - New Poll Shows Byrne, James Neck And Neck

A new poll shows the Republican race for governor has tightened up considerably between Bradley Byrne and Tim James. It also shows that Luther Strange is strongly pulling away from incumbent Troy King in the race for attorney general.

Public Strategy Associates, a Montgomery-based company that had the poll commissioned, announced the results of the May 10-11 poll Thursday. The poll was conducted by Baselice and Associates, an Austin, Texas firm whose clients include Texas Gov. Rick Perry and California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger. Public Strategy Associates is neither in the employ of any gubernatorial nor attorney general candidate.

In phone surveys conducted by Baselice & Associates with 1,005 known Republican primary voters, the race for governor of Alabama appears to be a dead heat between Byrne and James, according to a press release. Byrne is in the lead at 24 percent, with James right behind at 23 percent. The survey found the bottom three contenders are Roy Moore at 18 percent, Robert Bentley at 12 percent and Bill Johnson at 2 percent, with 21 percent undecided.

Survey data in the Republican primary for Attorney General also indicates that Luther Strange has a commanding lead over Troy King, with Strange at 50 percent and King at 25 percent. The percentage of undecided voters in this race is at 25 percent.

“The next couple of weeks will be ‘make or break’ in the governor’s race. It will come down to who has the best message that resonates with the right universe of voters the appropriate amount of times,” said Brent Buchanan, a partner in Public Strategy Associates. “This is when the heat is on, and a lot can change in the next nineteen days."

Jack Campbell, also a partner in PSA, said in the release, “Anger motivates voters, and there’s plenty of that with an out-of-touch Congress and a do-nothing state legislature. Anything can happen in these closing weeks, especially in the Governor’s race.”

An explanation of the poll from Mike Baselice is available on Public Strategy Associates’ website at www.mypublicstrategy.com under “News”.

The Will Anderson Show - Independent Statewide Poll Shows Byrne, James Neck And Neck; Strange Pulls Away from King

A poll conducted this week commissioned by a Montgomery political strategy, media and public relations firm indicates the Republican race for Governor too close to call between Bradley Byrne and Tim James, and Luther Strange strongly pulling away from incumbent Troy King in the race for Attorney General.

Public Strategy Associates, a Montgomery-based company, announced the results of the poll conducted May 10-11 by Baselice and Associates, an Austin, Texas polling firm whose clients include Governor Rick Perry (R-Texas) and Governor Arnold Swarzenegger (R-California). Public Strategy Associates is neither in the employ of any gubernatorial nor attorney general candidate.

In phone surveys conducted by Baselice & Associates with 1,005 known Republican Primary voters, the race for Governor of Alabama appears to be a dead heat between Byrne and James. Byrne is in the lead at 24 percent, with James right behind at 23 percent. The survey found the bottom three contenders are Roy Moore at 18 percent, Robert Bentley at 12 percent and Bill Johnson at 2 percent, with 21 percent undecided.

Survey data in the Republican Primary for Attorney General indicates that Luther Strange has a commanding lead over Troy King, with Strange at 50 percent and King at 25 percent. The percentage of undecided voters in this race is at 25 percent.

“The next couple of weeks will be ‘make or break’ in the governor’s race. It will come down to who has the best message that resonates with the right universe of voters the appropriate amount of times,” said Brent Buchanan, a partner in Public Strategy Associates. “This is when the heat is on, and a lot can change in the next nineteen days,” he added.

Jack Campbell, also a partner in PSA, said, “Anger motivates voters, and there’s plenty of that with an out-of-touch Congress and a do-nothing state legislature. Anything can happen in these closing weeks, especially in the Governor’s race.”

The lists used in conducting the poll were provided by Matt Braynard of the Braynard Group, Inc. of Arlington, Virginia, a company specializing in voter targeting, survey research and fundraising.

An explaination of the poll from Mike Baselice is available on Public Strategy Associates’ website at www.mypublicstrategy.com under “News”.